Pollster Who Predicted 2016 Election Says Who'll Win This Year | 22 Words

The pollster who predicted the winner of the 2016 presidential elections is back at it again in 2020. His decision about who's going to win between Donald Trump and Joe Biden has left us very shocked indeed...

It's been a whirlwind for American citizens.

As we approach the end of the year, it can only mean one thing... It's almost election time.

And as things are getting pretty wild right now...

It's only set to get wilder after an expert pollster recently revealed who he thinks has got this one in the bag.

Robert Cahaly, recently shocked us all with his decision.

He predicted who will win between the 2 nominees, Donald Trump and Joe Biden according to facts and figures, and of course, his own opinion. But what was stranger were his reasons for doing so...

Now, we are almost days away from the highly anticipated presidential election...

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And it's been an exhausting journey coming up to it, to say the least.

Donald Trump is hoping to gain victory and be reelected as President of the United States...

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But it seems that he has some serious competition from his Democratic rival, Joe Biden.

Of course, the election couldn't have fallen on a worse year...

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But it has been powering on ahead... despite many major setbacks.

The first presidential debate was held on September 29th at the Samson Pavilion of the Health Education Campus in Cleveland.

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Entering into the debate, Biden had a significant and persistent lead in the polls. Biden's lead was compounded by a cash crunch in Trump's campaign, with Biden's campaign donations improving significantly.

President Trump was obviously aware of this...

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And in the weeks running up the debate, he attempted to cast doubt over Biden's abilities, claiming that he was suffering from dementia and that he was taking performance-enhancing drugs. Trump even requested Biden to take a drug test before the debate!

But overall, the ninety-minute debate, that was held by Fox News' Chris Wallace, was a bitter one.

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Both Trump and Biden seemed to be having a field day throwing insults at one another and calling each other out.

6 subjects were set by Wallace to be discussed that evening...

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The Trump and Biden records, the Supreme Court, the COVID-19 pandemic, the economy, the issue of race and violence in cities, and the integrity of the election. But despite these firm rules, the pair just seemed to focus on personal insults... and even familial issues.

The whole debate was certainly made personal...

And it didn't leave a pleasant taste in the mouths of viewers who were, quite frankly, left feeling disgusted at what they had just witnessed.

It all felt very disorganized...

And the people of America have never before felt so disheartened in the run-up to an election.

Trump's presidential campaign seems to be hitting rocks...

And things took an ultimate turn for the worst when at the start of October, the President and the First Lady, Melania, tested positive for COVID-19. Trump insisted that they immediately went into self-isolation together and that they felt fine, but after just a few days, he was hospitalized at Walter Reed National Military Centre.

Despite the huge worry surrounding Trump's health...

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He was discharged just a few days later and insisted to the nation that all we need to do is to "learn to live with COVID", which was very concerning to hear.

Well, the first and only vice presidential debate of 2020 went ahead on October 7th between Vice President Mike Pence and Senator Kamala Harris.

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Washington Bureau Chief for USA Today, Ellen Page, moderated the heated debate in Utah and in similarity to the first Presidential Debate, sparks flew for miles.

Kamala Harris opened eyes with her firm techniques in handling interruptions by Pence...

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Including her putting her hand up and firmly saying, "Mr. Vice President, I'm speaking"... engulfing Pence into silence.

Similar topics were covered...

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Including the COVID-19 pandemic, Trump administration, racism and inequality, and the Supreme Court; all of which were discussed in a much calmer and well-rounded nature than the President and Biden.

According to the polls, Harris was the one who came out on top...

And it probably didn't help Trump's campaign any more that Pence became a laughing stock after a fly landed on his head half-way through the debate. You really can't make these things up!

Following the VP debate, Trump continued to insist on how he was "feeling better than ever."

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But when Joe Biden proposed making the next presidential debate a virtual one in the interest of health and safety, Trump put his foot down.

FYI, this wasn't just Biden's idea.

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The Commission on Presidential Debates announced that the October 15th town hall-style debate in Miami would take place virtually as health experts raised concerns about whether it would be safe to hold the event in person given Trump is still recovering from COVID-19.

The virtual debate that was scheduled to go ahead tonight on the 15th of October was officially canceled due to Trump's refusal.

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For some reason, the proposition of a virtual debate infuriated the President and he boldly said he "wouldn't waste his time" on it.

So instead, Joe Biden participated in a Philadelphia town hall forum moderated by ABC's George Stephanopoulos...

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And in typical Trump fashion, the President announced at the last minute that he will be holding his own town hall forum in Miami at exactly the same time, hosted by NBC.

Trump's event was hosted by NBC's Savannah Guthrie...

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And this was the first time ever that 2 hopeful presidential candidates ever went head-to-head at the same time while not being at the same event.

And if that wasn't bonkers enough for you, Trump has also been holding rallies up and down the country.

Florida, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and many other states have seen the president strut through followed by hundreds of maskless supporters following behind.

At one point, there was even some crowd surfing involved.

Yeah, you read that right. During one of Trump's rallies in Macon, Georgia, State Rep. Vernon Jones decided he would throw his body out into a crowd of supporters, who after a few minutes, put the man down back to his feet again.

And all this is occurring during a global pandemic?

Of course, it is.

But now that we're only twelve days away from November 3rd, things are getting pretty heated.

And recently, Robert Cahaly, Trafalgar Group's chief pollster, revealed his decision on who's going to win this one.

And it seems as though his revelation has received mixed reviews:

Why should we trust Cahaly's decision?

Well, back in 2016 when Donald Trump was running against Hillary Clinton, he analyzed the facts and figures to come up with an accurate decision on who was going to win that one. And he was right, being one of the only poll groups that showed Trump leading in states such as Pennsylvania, Florida, and Michigan on the eve of voting day.

Trump eventually won all those states.

And this time he predicted that he would win Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, and Georgia, while most other polls show a stalemate or show Biden with a slight lead.

Speaking to Fox News, he said that Trump would be re-elected again.

"I see the president winning with a minimum [electoral vote count in the] high 270s and possibly going up significantly higher based on just how big this undercurrent is."

He also put his reasonings down to "hidden voters."

"What we’ve noticed is that these polls are predominantly missing the hidden Trump vote, what we refer to as the shy Trump voter," he said. "There is a clear feeling among conservatives and people that are for the president that they’re not interested in sharing their opinions readily on the telephone. These people are more hesitant to participate in polls. So if you’re not compensating for this ... you’re not going to get honest answers."

He also added this:

"If the president uses this effectively at the debate [on Thursday] when a more bipartisan audience is paying attention and puts [Joe Biden] on the spot, I think Biden might crack, kind of like he did in the primaries,'" Cahaly said. "And if that happens, well, then the mainstream media is going to have to cover it."

So there we have it, ladies and gentlemen.

Twelve days left. Make sure you go out and vote. If you're in the mood for more election-related news, then keep scrolling...