# The Answer To This Jelly Bean Riddle Seems Simple, But Everybody Picks the Wrong One

### As you can tell from this picture, there isn't much to this riddle, and even if you guess, you've still got a decent chance of getting it right.

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But the majority of people end up picking the same, wrong jelly bean. See if you can avoid the trap and see how it unfolds below!

### Good luck to ya!

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Let's get to the riddle!

### Imagine you're trapped in a forest and will only be let go if you eat the "safe" jelly bean from the tree stump.

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One is okay to eat, and the other two are poisonous.

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### The person controlling the game asks you to randomly pick a jelly bean. Let's say you pick the green one.

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He says that he'll take away one of the non-green jelly beans and he guarantees that the one he removes is poisonous. HE REMOVES THE BLUE ONE.

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### Well, you should have picked the red one.

Let's explain why...

### Did you pick the green jelly bean?

Most people would figure they've got a 50/50 chance since they know that one jelly bean is poisonous and the other is not, but it's a little trickier than that.

### The red one is the better choice when the blue one is removed.

Here's why: When the green was selected, there was a 1 in 3 chance that it was safe. And a 2 in 3 chance it was poisonous. When the blue one was removed, the green was still a 1 in 3 chance of being safe, but we learn more about the red one. Because the blue one was taken away, there's actually a 2 in 3 chance that the red one is safe. So it's twice as likely to be safe and the better pick!

### It's a tricky one, isn't it?

Statistics don't lie, but they can be pretty confusing sometimes!